The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives

by Leonard Mlodinow

The answer lies in a phenomenon called regression toward the mean. That is, in any series of random events an extraordinary event is most likely to be followed, due purely to chance, by a more ordinary one.

the availability bias because in reconstructing the past, we give unwarranted importance to memories that are most vivid and hence most available for retrieval.

“Did all the Romans who fell at Cannae have the same horoscope?” Cicero asked. “Yet all had one and the same end.”