Vance Gatlin

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This explains why a new turning occurs every twenty years or so and why history rolls to so many related pendular rhythms. One turning will underprotect children, for example, while another will overprotect them. The same is true with attitudes toward politics, affluence, war, religion, family, gender roles, pluralism, and a host of other trends.
The Fourth Turning: What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny
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