The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't

by Julia Galef

delusionally overconfident.

Elon Musk estimated a 10 percent chance of success for each of his companies, Tesla

Being rationally irrational, therefore, would mean that we’re good at unconsciously choosing just enough epistemic irrationality to achieve our social

Overestimating your positive traits is most effective in the early days of a relationship (romantic, professional, or otherwise).

Francis Bacon said, “Hope is a good breakfast, but a bad supper.”