Normally, its interest is not to provoke such a war, since that would be costly for itself and reduce the value of its gains; rather, it is normally better off inducing other states to adjust their behavior based on the judgment that it would prevail if such a war were fought. If those other states perceive that a systemic regional war would result in victory by the aspirant, they will be impelled toward accommodating the aspirant’s demands in order to avoid the futile suffering such a war would entail.
