If we had more insight into where and how the virus was spreading, we would have been able to reserve the most stringent measures, like stay-at-home orders, only for cities where the virus was already epidemic. We would have been able to adopt mitigation tools that had the best opportunity to interrupt spread based on how the virus was being transmitted. That’s what happened with some success in 1918. That’s what the 2005 pandemic plan had prepped for. It envisioned that mitigation would be directed to places where there was active spread, with the strictest measures reserved for cities where
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