The latest estimates, such as a 2023 report by McKinsey, found that 63 percent of all working time in today’s developed economies is spent on tasks that could already be automated with today’s technology.[23] If adoption proceeds quickly, half of this work could be automated by 2030, while McKinsey’s midpoint scenarios forecast 2045—assuming no future AI breakthroughs. But we know AI is going to continue to progress—exponentially—until we have superhuman-level AI and fully automated, atomically precise manufacturing (controlled by AI) sometime in the 2030s.
