Superintelligence, he had said in his thesis,11 could bring unprecedented wealth and opportunity—or lead to a “nightmare scenario” that threatened the very existence of humankind. Even if there was only a tiny possibility of building superintelligence, he believed, researchers had to consider the consequences. “If one accepts that the impact of truly intelligent machines is likely to be profound,12 and that there is at least a small probability of this happening in the foreseeable future, it is only prudent to try to prepare for this in advance. If we wait until it seems very likely that
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