Within a few hours of the NCA2018’s release on Black Friday, I had drafted a short Op-Ed saying more or less what I have said here, which the Wall Street Journal published online on Monday.32 The next day, a prominent US energy economist sent an email thanking me for making the point—alas, that person could never express that thanks publicly. The next week, one of the authors of the original 2017 research paper from which the estimates used in the assessment report were drawn expressed dismay at the way their results were portrayed in the media.
