Robert

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If you take note of the predictions by a psychic that are borne out by events, but don’t divide by the total number of predictions, correct and incorrect, you can get any probability you want. As Francis Bacon noted in 1620, such is the way of all superstitions, whether in astrology, dreams, omens, or divine judgments.
Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters
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