The Laughing Man

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Intuitive probability is driven by imaginability: the easier something is to visualize, the likelier it seems. This entraps us into what Tversky and Kahneman call the conjunction fallacy, in which a conjunction is more intuitively probable than either of its elements.
The Laughing Man
People will of course think a president will resign after protests instead of all by himself without reason to be more likely. Your reasoning is absurd here.
Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters
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