Speaking of Heuristics, Biases, and Noise “We know we have psychological biases, but we should resist the urge to blame every error on unspecified ‘biases.’” “When we substitute an easier question for the one we should be answering, errors are bound to occur. For instance, we will ignore the base rate when we judge probability by similarity.” “Prejudgments and other conclusion biases lead people to distort evidence in favor of their initial position.” “We form impressions quickly and hold on to them even when contradictory information comes in. This tendency is called excessive coherence.”
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