Wally Bock

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When you explain an unexpected but unsurprising outcome in this way, the destination that is eventually reached always makes sense. This is what we mean by understanding a story, and this is what makes reality appear predictable—in hindsight. Because the event explains itself as it occurs, we are under the illusion that it could have been anticipated. More broadly, our sense of understanding the world depends on our extraordinary ability to construct narratives that explain the events we observe.
Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment
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