Wally Bock

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description. A 2000 review of 136 studies confirmed unambiguously that mechanical aggregation outperforms clinical judgment. The research surveyed in the article covered a wide variety of topics, including diagnosis of jaundice, fitness for military service, and marital satisfaction. Mechanical prediction was more accurate in 63 of the studies, a statistical tie was declared for another 65, and clinical prediction won the contest in 8 cases. These results understate the advantages of mechanical prediction, which is also faster and cheaper than clinical judgment. Moreover, human judges actually ...more
Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment
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