We now turn to a broader question: how do we achieve comfort in a world in which many problems are easy but many others are dominated by objective ignorance? After all, where objective ignorance is severe, we should, after a while, become aware of the futility of crystal balls in human affairs. But that is not our usual experience of the world. Instead, as the previous chapter suggested, we maintain an unchastened willingness to make bold predictions about the future from little useful information. In this chapter, we address the prevalent and misguided sense that events that could not have
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