Di Wu

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The main implication of this view of confidence is that subjective confidence in one’s judgment by no means guarantees accuracy. Moreover, the suppression of alternative interpretations—a well-documented process in perception—could induce what we have called the illusion of agreement (see chapter 2). If people cannot imagine possible alternatives to their conclusions, they will naturally assume that other observers must reach the same conclusion, too.
Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment
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