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Pick the future as against the past; Focus on opportunity rather than on problem; Choose your own direction—rather than climb on the bandwagon; and Aim high, aim for something that will make a difference, rather than for something that is “safe” and easy to do.
A good many studies of research scientists have shown that achievement (at least below the genius level of an Einstein, a Niels Bohr, or a Max Planck) depends less on ability in doing research than on the courage to go after opportunity.
Achievement goes to the people who pick their research priorities by the opportunity and who consider other criteria only as qualifiers rather than as determinants.
As a rule it is just as risky, just as arduous, and just as uncertain to do something small that is new as it is to do something big that is new.
It is more productive to convert an opportunity into results than to solve a problem—which only restores the equilibrium of yesterday.
The effective executive does not, in other words, truly commit himself beyond the one task he concentrates on right now. Then he reviews the situation and picks the next one task that now comes first.
Concentration—that is, the courage to impose on time and events his own decision as to what really matters and comes first—is the executive’s only hope of becoming the master of time and events instead of their whipping boy.
Effective executives do not make a great many decisions. They concentrate on the important ones.
Unless a decision has “degenerated into work” it is not a decision; it is at best a good intention.
the action to carry it out should be as close as possible to the working level and as simple as possible.
They all tackled a problem at the highest conceptual level of understanding. They tried to think through what the decision was all about, and then tried to develop a principle for dealing with it. Their decisions were, in other words, strategic, rather than adaptations to the apparent needs of the moment.
THE ELEMENTS OF THE DECISION PROCESS
The definition of the specifications
which the answer to the problem had to satisfy, that is, of the “boundary conditions”;
The thinking through what is “right,” that is, the solution which will fully satisfy the specifications before attention is given to the compromises, adaptations, and concessions needed to make the decision acceptable;
Equivalent to outlining objectives or the best desirable outcome of the decision, and only then proceeding to rank and quantify compromises
There is first the truly generic of which the individual occurrence is only a symptom.
Then there is the problem which, while a unique event for the individual institution, is actually generic.
it is, of course, a generic situation which occurs all the time. To think through whether to accept or to reject the offer requires some general rules. For these, however, one has to look to the experience of others.
Next there is the truly exceptional, the truly unique event.
And this, the early manifestation of a new generic problem, is the fourth and last category of events with which the decision process deals.
All events but the truly unique require a generic solution. They require a rule, a policy, a principle.
By far the most common mistake is to treat a generic situation as if it were a series of unique events; that is, to be pragmatic when one lacks the generic understanding and principle.
Almost as common is the plausible but erroneous definition of the fundamental problem.
Or the definition of the problem may be incomplete.
The effective decision-maker, therefore, always assumes initially that the problem is generic. He always assumes that the event that clamors for his attention is in reality a symptom. He looks for the true problem.
And if the event is truly unique, the experienced decision-maker suspects that this heralds a new underlying problem and that what appears as unique will turn out to have been simply the first manifestation of a new generic situation.
he asks himself every time, “If I had to live with this for a long time, would I be willing to?” And if the answer is “No,” he
keeps on working to find a more general, a more conceptual, a more comprehensive solution—one which establishes the right principle.
The decision-maker also always tests for signs that something atypical, something unusual, is happening;
“Does the explanation explain the observed events and does it explain all of them?; he always
writes out what the solution is expected ...
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finally, he goes back and thinks the problem through again when he sees something atypical, when he finds phenomena his explanation does not really explain, or when the course of events deviates, even in details, from his expectations.
What are the objectives the decision has to reach? What are the minimum goals it has to attain? What are the conditions it has to satisfy?
any serious shortfall in defining these boundary conditions is almost certain to make a decision ineffectual, no matter how brilliant it may seem.
“What is the minimum needed to resolve this problem?” is the form in which the boundary conditions are usually probed.
The effective executive knows that a decision that does not satisfy the boundary conditions is ineffectual and inappropriate.
clear thinking about the boundary conditions is needed so that one knows when a decision has to be abandoned.
clear thinking about the boundary conditions is needed also to identify the most dangerous of all possible decisions: the one that might—just might—work if nothing whatever goes wrong. These decisions always seem to make sense. But when one
thinks through the specifications they have to satisfy, one always finds that they are essentially incompatible with each other.
Highly improbable; no room for error; fooling yourself that you have the perfect plan, provided every thing goes right. Perhaps this is one reason why we underestimate timelines; we fail to recognize the boundary conditions, if we recognize them at all, and create an ideal scenario for our work. In reality, it was highly improbable it ever would have gotten done.
defining the specifications and setting the boundary conditions
always has to be done on interpretation. It is risk-taking judgment.
One has to start out with what is right rather than what is acceptable