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There is ample evidence that human judges aren’t terribly consistent. One way to test this is to show hypothetical cases to various judges and see if they reach different conclusions. They do. In one British study from 2001, judges were asked for judgements on a variety of cases; some of the cases (presented a suitable distance apart to disguise the subterfuge) were simply repeats of earlier cases, with names and other irrelevant details changed. The judges didn’t even agree with their own previous judgement on the identical case. That is one error that we can be fairly sure a computer would ...more
How to Make the World Add Up : Ten Rules for Thinking Differently About Numbers
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