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There are several reasons why we prefer this assumption to that in which tax rates are held constant. First, the pensions of the aged have generally been protected despite the slow growth of real output in recent years. Second, the old represent a major voting bloc, and they are more likely to vote than the young. The rising share of elderly voters in the electorate will provide a potent constituency for keeping pensions rising in line with real output.
The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival
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