In early 2008, I had dinner with John Mack, the CEO of Morgan Stanley. He was miserable, having just reported a quarterly loss of $7 billion. How had he managed to lose so much money? He hadn’t, he said. It was all on paper. He had portfolios of subprime securities dating back four years. The underlying mortgages on the securities for 2004 were defaulting at a rate of around 4 percent, for 2005–2006 at 6 percent, and for 2007 around 8 percent. But the market for these securities, even with default rates below 10 percent, had evaporated. No one would buy them. Fewer than one in ten Americans
...more