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This, then, is a survivorship bias as strong as press coverage of Kickstarter projects or trying to deduce the vulnerabilities of planes by examining only the ones whose vulnerabilities weren’t fatal. Out of all the possible studies that could have been conducted, it’s reasonable to guess that the journal was interested only in the ones that demonstrated precognition. This wasn’t because of a bias in favor of precognition. It was because of a bias in favor of novel and surprising discoveries.
The Data Detective: Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics
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