Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Succeed and Fail
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Naveed Bokhari
3 most important cycles
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Factors impacting the three phases of an empire
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Three cycles, eight determinants
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Additional dynamics
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Two types of determinants
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prisoner’s dilemma
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Peisoner's dilemma
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LONG-TERM DEBT CYCLE IN SUMMARY
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The long term debt cycle
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THE SIX STAGES OF THE INTERNAL CYCLE
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Six stages of internal cycle
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All markets are primarily driven by just four determinants: growth, inflation, risk premiums, and discount rates.
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Four market determinants
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when credit is created, buying power is created in exchange for a promise to pay back, so it is near-term stimulating and longer-term depressing.
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fiat money (money that can be printed
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Fiat money
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The ways these cycles have always worked is that, in their rising phases, the amounts of financial money and financial wealth (i.e., created debt and equity assets) are increased relative to the amounts of real money