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There have been, according to a Fathom Consulting study, 469 recessions (defined as a decline in a country’s GDP over a year) in 194 countries forecasted since 1988 by the International Monetary Fund in its biannual World Economic Outlook. In only 17 of these did they forecast a recession in the preceding year. They predicted recessions that did not occur 47 times.
Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events
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