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Kindle Notes & Highlights
The first time you do anything, it’s hard to make probability judgments.
You don’t know all that’s possible, much less what’s probable. You don’t know all the causal factors and you haven’t seen all the effects. You don’t know what to watch for. Which means you don’t how to react. The first time you do anything, there’s a higher risk of failure.
When you’re working with small numbers, you don’t take risks the way the people with large numbers do.