The world in general is becoming more of a confusopoly. If you have a firm opinion about international trade deals, the future of cryptocurrencies, or any of a thousand other complicated topics, you might be engaging in loserthink. I say that because no one should be confident in the face of complexity. You might have arrived at your certainty by trusting experts. But experts can’t penetrate complexity either. At least not so often that you can trust the next one to get it right because the last one did. Experts have been wrong—at least some of them have—about nearly every complicated event in
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