Doug Lautzenheiser

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Scenario Analysis is another decision-making exercise to consider possible outcomes and their implications after a given period of time. It is a risk-assessment technique that does not try to show one exact picture of the future, but instead consciously presents several alternative future developments or key factors that would affect a decision, such as the previous estimate for patient visits per year. It is not predictive, but meant to manage uncertainty.
Problem Solved: A Powerful System for Making Complex Decisions with Confidence and Conviction
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