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Imagine if the game had 100 doors hiding one prize and 99 goats. If you select door #1 and the host opens 98 doors showing 98 goats, would you switch your choice to the one remaining door? The answer seems obvious. The three-door version is the same thing, just with fewer doors.
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The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe: How To Know What's Really Real in a World Increasingly Full of Fake
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