Stone

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The door you picked clearly has a 1/3 chance of hiding the prize. That means the other two must have a 2/3 chance. If you decide to switch your door to #3, you are in essence picking both #2 and #3 at the same time, since you have the new information that a goat was behind #2. This switches your chance of winning from 1/3 to 2/3.
Stone
interesting
The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe: How To Know What's Really Real in a World Increasingly Full of Fake
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