Michael Hayes

5%
Flag icon
contrary to traditional estimation in statistics, some queries may not be answerable under the current causal model, even after the collection of any amount of data. For example, if our model shows that both D and L depend on a third variable Z (say, the stage of a disease), and if we do not have any way to measure Z, then the query P(L | do(D)) cannot be answered. In that case it is a waste of time to collect data. Instead we need to go back and refine the model, either by adding new scientific knowledge that might allow us to estimate Z or by making simplifying assumptions (at the risk of ...more
The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect (Penguin Science)
Rate this book
Clear rating