21 Lessons for the 21st Century
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Read between March 1 - April 3, 2019
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they think like theater producers.
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Because we intuitively understand that terrorism is theater, we judge it by its emotional rather than material impact.
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We are the only ones who can defeat ourselves, if we overreact in a misguided way to their provocations.
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To achieve their aim, they present the state with an impossible challenge of its own: to prove that it can protect all of its citizens from political violence, anywhere, anytime.
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And once in a while the political storm created by counterterrorist campaigns does benefit the terrorists.
Po-Jui Chen
How? Why?
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the legitimacy of the modern state is based on its promise to keep the public sphere free of political violence.
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modern Western states have gradually established their legitimacy on the explicit promise to tolerate no political violence within their borders.
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People quickly got used to this and now consider it their natural right. Consequently, sporadic acts of political violence that kill a few dozen people are seen as a deadly threat to the legitimacy and even survival of the state.
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In order to assuage these fears, the state is driven to respond to the theater of terror with its own theater of security.
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governments should focus on clandestine actions against the terrorist networks.
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the media should keep things in perspective and avoid hysteria.
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The third front is the imagination of each and every one of us.
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if terrorists acquire weapons of mass destruction, the nature not just of terrorism but of state and global politics will change dramatically.
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future nuclear terrorism, cyberterrorism, or bioterrorism would pose a much more serious threat and would demand a far more drastic reaction from governments.
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they need to balance the fear of nuclear terrorism against other threatening scenarios.
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while we must surely prevent nuclear terrorism, this cannot be the number one item on humanity’s agenda.
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Never Underestimate Human Stupidity
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Yet since the global financial crisis of 2008 the international situation is rapidly deteriorating, warmongering is back in vogue, and military expenditures are ballooning.
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in 2018 successful wars seem to be an endangered species.
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all the major powers owed their status to successful wars.
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bargain of the millennium.
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The Iranians finance and arm local movements from Iraq to Yemen
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Israel seems to understand that in the twenty-first century the most successful strategy is to sit on the fence and let others do the fighting for you.
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To realize the limitations of the Russian policy,
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He seems to know better than anyone else that military power cannot go far in the twenty-first century, and that waging a successful war means waging a limited war.
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