Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the World

by Adam Tooze

But if this was the case, if the stimulus worked, why didn’t the Obama administration ask for more?13 There were political risks in asking for a figure bigger than $1 trillion. But there were risks to undershooting as well. By 2010, America’s unemployment was still stuck above 10 percent. Foreclosures and forced sales were destroying entire communities. Millions of young people left schools and colleges without jobs. Men and women in the prime of life were shut out of the workforce. Many would not return. In the elections of 2010 and 2012 the Democrats fought on the back foot against the backdrop of a limping economy and resurgent Republican activism. They retained the presidency but lost control of Congress. Obama’s administration never built the constituency of Democrats-for-life that was shaped by Roosevelt’s New Deal. Given that they commanded majorities in both the House and the Senate in 2009, why did the Obama team not set the bar higher and pitch for an even larger number? If maximum force was the best approach to financial stabilization, why, when it came to fiscal policy, was the approach so penny-pinching? Part of the answer is that the transition team did not fully grasp the scale of the tsunami that was descending on the US economy. From preparatory documents circulated within the transition team in early January 2009, we know that the worst-case scenario envisioned by Obama’s staff was for unemployment to reach 9 percent with no stimulus.14 In fact, even with...