Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan (Chapman & Hall/CRC Texts in Statistical Science Book 122)

by Richard McElreath

Consider three different kinds of things we counted in the previous sections. (1) The number of ways each conjecture could produce an observation (2) The accumulated number of ways each conjecture could produce the entire data (3) The initial plausibility of each conjectured cause of the data

数学词汇：猜想