Mark Gerstein

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This is perhaps the most important role of Bayes’s rule in statistics: we can estimate the conditional probability directly in one direction, for which our judgment is more reliable, and use mathematics to derive the conditional probability in the other direction, for which our judgment is rather hazy. The equation also plays this role in Bayesian networks; we tell the computer the forward probabilities, and the computer tells us the inverse probabilities when needed.
The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect
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