Clive Azavedo

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If life were like chess, nearly every time you ran a red light you would get in an accident (or at least receive a ticket). If life were like chess, the Seahawks would win the Super Bowl every time Pete Carroll called that pass play. But life is more like poker. You could make the smartest, most careful decision in firing a company president and still have it blow up in your face.
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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