Joel Schaefer

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Chalk up an outcome to skill, and we take credit for the result. Chalk up an outcome to luck, and it wasn’t in our control. For any outcome, we are faced with this initial sorting decision. That decision is a bet on whether the outcome belongs in the “luck” bucket or the “skill” bucket.
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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