Joel Schaefer

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A premortem is an investigation into something awful, but before it happens. We all like to bask in an optimistic view of the future. We generally are biased to overestimate the probability of good things happening. Looking at the world through rose-colored glasses is natural and feels good, but a little naysaying goes a long way.
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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