Why did so many people so strongly believe that Pete Carroll got it so wrong? We can sum it up in four words: the play didn’t work. Take a moment to imagine that Wilson completed the pass for a game-winning touchdown. Wouldn’t the headlines change to “Brilliant Call” or “Seahawks Win Super Bowl on Surprise Play” or “Carroll Outsmarts Belichick”?
Reminds me of Taleb and the airport security guy on 9/10
In fact, this whole intro reminds me of Fooled by Randomness
