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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts, by Annie Duke

Backcasting doesn’t, therefore, ignore the negative space so much as it overrepresents the positive space.

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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

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