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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts, by Annie Duke

Any prediction that is not 0% or 100% can’t be wrong solely because the most likely future doesn’t unfold.

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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

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