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Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History, by Peter Turchin

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The data also indicate that one of the most reliable predictors of state collapse and high political instability is elite overproduction (Turchin and Nefedov 2009:314).
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Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History
Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History
by Peter Turchin
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