The Rise and Fall of Nations: Ten Rules of Change in the Post-Crisis World
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China as one of the top priorities for Xi Jinping’s administration. The nation’s state tobacco company alone employs half a million people and accounts for 43
Gourav Chugh
interesting
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India has the fourth-largest coal reserves in the world, it was forced to import more and more coal during this
Gourav Chugh
fact
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Institute, the manufacturing industries account for nearly 80 percent of private-sector research and development and 40 percent of growth in productivity, which is really the key to stable growth in the future. When
Gourav Chugh
important
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Real estate binges are often pumped up by borrowing and, as a result, tend to end in a serious economic slowdown. Some of the most famous economic miracles ended
Gourav Chugh
rule
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One quick way to check where the money is headed is to see if the deficit is rising alongside an increase in investment as a share of GDP. If investment is rising, it is at least circumstantial evidence that the money is not flowing out for frivolous consumption.
Gourav Chugh
investment plus growth
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DOES DEGLOBALIZATION CHANGE THE RULE?
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work for a relatively small economy such as Vietnam, in which trade accounts for 170 percent of GDP, and
Gourav Chugh
facf
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If private credit grows significantly slower than GDP for five years running, it can create the conditions for an economy to recover strongly. Banks will have rebuilt stores of deposits and will feel comfortable lending again. Borrowers, having reduced
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China however is in a class of its own. According to McKinsey, out of the $57 trillion increase in debt globally since 2007, more than one-third or $21 trillion has been racked up by China. One
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To some observers, however, Chinese wealth-management products soon came to resemble the exotic American debt products that pooled together subprime and other mortgage loans into one murky and explosive bundle. These were the products Warren Buffett described as “financial weapons of mass destruction” six years before their implosion helped trigger the U.S. housing and stock market blow-ups in 2007 and 2008. When Beijing ordered state banks
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The popular media’s admiration then swung to the United States, which did look stunningly strong. At the height of the Asian financial crisis in 1998, the U.S. economy expanded at a blistering 5 percent pace, and consumer demand in the United States prevented the world from slipping into a recession. It was almost impossible
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To help its global companies compete abroad, the Abe government cut corporate taxes from 40 percent to 32 percent and is targeting a further cut to 29 percent, a little
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The share of adult women who participate in the work force is up from 60 percent in 2010 to 65 percent today—surpassing the United States, where the share is stagnant