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Among these cases, there were 38 in which a country’s working-age population was shrinking over the course of the decade, and the average GDP growth rate for these countries was just 1.5 percent. And in only three of the 698 cases did a country with a shrinking population manage to sustain a GDP growth rate of 6 percent or more.
The Rise and Fall of Nations: Forces of Change in the Post-Crisis World
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