you are trying to do something that most people would consider impossible. Optimists most certainly do not listen to leading indicators of bad news.”
As optimists, most ceo's would miss their mark or overestimate a market because they fail to act on the leading indicators of bad news (i.e. Signals that predict a bad outcome). Optimists do not do well at preparing or predicting for poor outcomes by their very nature. They are blind to that possibility.