The template antiquity > medieval decline > renaissance > scientific revolution does not fit the history of probability; certainly not the history of logical probability. In particular, it is not possible to read the story with the medieval Scholastics as “them” and the men of the seventeenth century as “us.” The Scholastics made many advances in the clarification and deepening of concepts necessary to understand probability. And contrary to the myths put about by their many enemies, they explained themselves perfectly clearly.
