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Steve Greenleaf
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The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal, by James Franklin

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The initiator of the reasonable chance condition was Suarez, in the following passage, which asserts that there ought to be some reasonable proportion between the probability of victory and the harms involved:
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The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal
The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal
by James Franklin
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