McCormack hopes to create “the whole picture of Japanese shipping and water-born trade.” This is done in due course; American submarines and aviators succeed in sinking Japanese merchant ships beyond the wildest expectations of the Pentagon. McCormack predicts that within a year, by 1944, his staff will have “pretty well reconstructed the economic and political aspects of the [Far Eastern picture] and be able to make increasingly accurate diagnoses of Japanese capabilities, difficulties and plans.”