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An upward-sloping yield-curve anchor assumes a slightly positive long-term inflation rate. In contrast, a long-run expectation of sufficiently high deflation would create a persistently negatively sloped or inverted curve, as in the United States during the post–Civil War era of the late nineteenth century.
Applied Financial Macroeconomics and Investment Strategy: A Practitioner’s Guide to Tactical Asset Allocation (Global Financial Markets)
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