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Since World War II, for example, expansions have been longer and recessions less frequent than was the case for the business cycles in the prior century. We will discuss why that has been the case in chapter 2. With the time frame of a business cycle in mind, the easiest way to define a cycle is the pattern of movement in an economic or financial variable, such as corporate profits, over the course of an economic expansion and recession.
Applied Financial Macroeconomics and Investment Strategy: A Practitioner’s Guide to Tactical Asset Allocation (Global Financial Markets)
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