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Recessions are bad for equities because profits are very cyclical and tend to drop sharply in a recession. This, combined with tight credit conditions, raises the specter of growing credit defaults and bankruptcies. On the other hand, the best time to buy equities is when the recession has reached an extreme point at which its end is in sight.
Applied Financial Macroeconomics and Investment Strategy: A Practitioner’s Guide to Tactical Asset Allocation (Global Financial Markets)
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