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As a mix of cyclical and less cyclical jobs, overall employment is one of the best trackers of whether GDP is growing or not. That’s why it is one of the four components in the index of coincident indicators. These four components are available on a monthly basis, making it possible to date recessions in the month they start and end.
Applied Financial Macroeconomics and Investment Strategy: A Practitioner’s Guide to Tactical Asset Allocation (Global Financial Markets)
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