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The “does nothing” scenario is called the null hypothesis. That is, the null hypothesis is the hypothesis that the intervention you’re studying has no effect. If you’re the researcher who developed the new drug, the null hypothesis is the thing that keeps you up at night. Unless you can rule it out, you don’t know whether you’re on the trail of a medical breakthrough or just barking up the wrong metabolic pathway.
How Not To Be Wrong: The Hidden Maths of Everyday
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